Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.123791 0.152228 0.183208 0.219174 0.259492 0.303025 0.353313
2025-03-30 0.083281 0.119632 0.162998 0.217318 0.282350 0.356609 0.446716
2025-04-06 0.057028 0.096499 0.148059 0.217306 0.305011 0.409787 0.541830
2025-04-13 0.040716 0.081503 0.139682 0.222857 0.333316 0.470151 0.647715
2025-04-20 0.029702 0.070683 0.134359 0.230668 0.363863 0.533855 0.759648
2025-04-27 0.021412 0.061382 0.129107 0.237133 0.392080 0.595022 0.869955
2025-05-04 0.014109 0.050866 0.119655 0.235774 0.408619 0.640848 0.961493
2025-05-11 0.009733 0.044216 0.115015 0.240540 0.433216 0.697460 1.067815
2025-05-18 0.005941 0.036552 0.106775 0.238260 0.446799 0.738951 1.154714
2025-05-25 0.002775 0.027443 0.093304 0.225321 0.443017 0.755585 1.208146
2025-06-01 0.001528 0.023379 0.089093 0.227419 0.461692 0.803624 1.304335
2025-06-08 0.000581 0.018345 0.081114 0.221536 0.467067 0.832348 1.374246
2025-06-15 0.000320 0.017146 0.082460 0.233495 0.502035 0.905497 1.508003
2025-06-22 0.000077 0.014069 0.077832 0.233308 0.517016 0.949715 1.602357
2025-06-29 0.000006 0.011634 0.074095 0.234326 0.533804 0.996799 1.701390
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010240 0.073089 0.240775 0.559866 1.058153 1.821403
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009264 0.073137 0.249361 0.589747 1.125677 1.950954
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008224 0.072539 0.256386 0.617024 1.189636 2.076157
2025-07-27 NaN 0.006532 0.068472 0.255085 0.629384 1.230817 2.169043
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005626 0.067269 0.260180 0.653200 1.289950 2.288446
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004312 0.063169 0.257824 0.663236 1.327652 2.377037
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002633 0.055040 0.244216 0.651608 1.330766 2.414801
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002076 0.053220 0.246442 0.669566 1.380889 2.522093